Thursday, January 15, 2015

December California Home Sales Press Release

California December Home Sales


An estimated 36,468 new and resale houses and condos were sold in California in December 2014. That was up month over month by 23.8 percent from 29,459 sales in November 2014, and up year over year by 4.3 percent from 34,949 sales in December 2013.

December home sales have varied from a low of 25,585 sales in 2007 to a high of 66,503 sales in 2003. The December 2014 sales were 15.7 percent lower than the December average of 43,285 sales since 1988, when CoreLogic DataQuick data began. California sales haven’t been above average for any particular month in more than eight years.

The median price paid for a home in California in December 2014 was $388,000, up month over month by 1.8 percent from $381,000 in November 2014 and up year over year by 6.3 percent from $365,000 in December 2013.

December 2014 marked the 34th consecutive month in which the state's median sale price has increased on a year-over-year basis. The peak year-over-year price gain was 29.2 percent in July 2013. Since then the annual gains have generally trended downward and have been single-digit since July 2014.

The December 2014 median price was 19.8 percent lower than California’s peak median price of $484,000, reached in March/April/May 2007, and it was 75.6 percent higher than the post-peak trough of $221,000 in April 2009. That trough was reached during a period when distressed property sales were at unusually high levels and sales of mid- to high-end homes were at relatively low levels.

Of the existing homes sold statewide in December 2014, 5.7 percent were properties that had been foreclosed on during the past year. That was down from a revised 5.9 percent in November 2014 and down from 6.9 percent in December 2013. Foreclosure resales peaked at 58.8 percent in February 2009.

Short sales made up an estimated 6.3 percent of homes that resold in December 2014, up slightly month over month from 6.2 percent in November 2014 and down year over year from 10.3 percent in December 2013. Short sales are transactions in which the sale price fell short of what was owed on the property.

The typical monthly mortgage payment for California homebuyers in December 2014 was $1,457, up from $1,455 in November 2014 and down from $1,473 in December 2013. Adjusted for inflation, the December 2014 typical payment was 37.8 percent below the typical payment in the spring of 1989, which was the peak of the prior real estate cycle. It was 49.6 percent below the current cycle's peak in June 2006 and 56.1 percent above the January 2012 trough of the current cycle.

Source: CoreLogic DataQuick; DQNews.com

Copyright 2015 CoreLogic. All rights reserved.

December Bay Area Home Sales Press Release

Bay Area Home Sales and Prices Rise in December 2014


January 15, 2015

CoreLogic® (NYSE: CLGX), a leading global property information, analytics and data-enabled services provider, today released its December San Francisco Bay Area housing market report. Home buying picked up steam late in 2014, with December posting strong month-over-month and year-over-year sales gains. Price appreciation remained lower than it had been earlier in 2014, but the median sale price, which has moved little since late last summer, was still nearly 10 percent higher than it was the same time a year earlier.

A total of 7,456 new and resale houses and condos sold in the nine-county Bay Area in December 2014. That was up month over month 24.2 percent from 6,003 in November 2014 and up year over year 14.1 percent from 6,532 in December 2013, according to CoreLogic DataQuick data.

A rise in sales from November to December is normal for the season. Bay Area sales have risen an average of 9.6 percent between those two months since 1988, when CoreLogic DataQuick data began.

The region’s monthly home sales have ranged between 7,000 and 8,000 for seven of the last nine months. Since 1988, December sales have varied from a low of 5,065 in 2007 to a high of 12,349 in 2003, and the December 2014 sales were 12.1 percent below the December average of 8,482.

The median price paid for a home in the Bay Area was $603,000 in December 2014. That was up month over month by 0.3 percent from $601,000 in November 2014 and up year over year 9.9 percent from $548,500 in December 2013. December 2014 was the 33rd consecutive month with a year-over-year gain in the median sale price. However, those annual increases slipped from double-digit to single-digit in the last two months of 2014. In December 2013 the region’s $548,500 median was 23.9 percent higher than in December 2012.

The Bay Area median sale price peaked at $665,000 in June and July 2007 and dropped to a post-boom low of $290,000 in March 2009.

“The Bay Area’s residential real estate market ended 2014 on a cautiously optimistic note, with moderate year-over-year increases in both median price and sales counts,” said John Karevoll, CoreLogic DataQuick analyst. “Supply continues to be constrained, and the mortgage market remains difficult. As long-term trends, cash sales and investor purchases are declining slowly, but they are still significant market factors. We know that there is a significant amount of pent-up demand lying in wait, and there is a good chance the market could see a surge this spring and summer as more homes are put up for sale.”

Other December 2014 Bay Area housing market highlights include the following:

•Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), an important indicator of mortgage availability, accounted for 22.3 percent of the Bay Area’s home purchase loans in December 2014, down from a revised 23.6 percent in November 2014, and up from 22.2 percent in December 2013. ARMs hit a low of 3.0 percent of purchase loans in January 2009 and reached a post-housing-bust peak of 27.8 percent in April 2014. Since 2000, ARMs have accounted for 46.2 percent of all Bay Area purchase loans.

•Jumbo loans, or mortgages above the old conforming limit of $417,000, accounted for 54.1 percent of purchase lending in December 2014, down from a revised 56.4 percent in November 2014, and up from 48.2 percent in December 2013. Jumbo usage dropped to as low as 17.1 percent in January 2009. It reached 56.4 percent in May 2014 and has stayed close to that percentage since. Prior to the August 2007 credit crunch, jumbo loans accounted for more than 60 percent of the Bay Area’s home purchase loans.

•Foreclosure resales accounted for 3.7 percent of all resales in December 2014, up from 2.8 percent in November 2014, and down from 4.6 percent in December 2013. Foreclosure resales in the Bay Area peaked at 52.0 percent in February 2009, while the monthly average over the past 17 years is 9.6 percent. Foreclosure resales are purchased homes that have been previously foreclosed upon in the prior 12 months.

•Short sales made up an estimated 4.0 percent of Bay Area resales in December 2014, up from a revised 3.9 percent in November 2014 and down from 7.9 percent in December 2013. Short sales are transactions in which the sale price fell short of what was owed on the property.

•Absentee buyers – mostly investors – purchased 18.3 percent of all Bay Area homes in December 2014, up insignificantly from a revised 18.2 percent in November 2014 and down from 22.5 percent in December 2013. The November 2014 absentee level was the lowest for any month since August 2010, when it was 17.8 percent. The peak absentee share was 28.7 percent in February 2013, and the monthly average since 2000, when CoreLogic DataQuick absentee data began, is 15.7 percent.

•Cash buyers accounted for 19.0 percent of home sales in December 2014 – the lowest for any month since the cash buyer level was 18.5 percent in October 2008. The December 2014 absentee level was down slightly from a revised 19.3 percent in November 2014 and down from 23.5 percent in December 2013. The peak was 32.3 percent in February 2013, and the monthly average since 1988 is 13.7 percent.

•Bay Area home buyers used $2.18 billion of their own money in the form of a down payment or as an outright cash purchase in December 2014. They borrowed $3.06 billion in mortgage money from lenders.

•The typical monthly mortgage payment for Bay Area home buyers in December 2014 was $2,264. Adjusted for inflation, that payment was 21.6 percent below the typical payment in spring 1989, the peak of the prior real estate cycle. It was 42.0 percent below the current cycle's peak in July 2007 and 77.1 percent above the February 2012 bottom of the current cycle.


To view the county-by-county home sale chart, please visit DQNews.com.

Wednesday, January 14, 2015

December Southern California Home Sales Press Release

Southern California Home Sales and Median Sale Price Rise


January 14, 2015

CoreLogic® (NYSE: CLGX), a leading global property information, analytics and data-enabled services provider, today released its December Southern California housing market report. The number of homes sold increased sharply from the month of November and rose modestly from the same time a year earlier, marking one of just two months in 2014 to post a year-over-year gain in sales. The region’s median sale price also increased from November and rose year over year for the 33rd consecutive month, although that annual gain was the lowest since the string of price increases began in spring 2012.

A total of 19,205 new and resale houses and condos sold in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties in December 2014. That was up month over month 22.8 percent from 15,643 sales in November 2014, and up year over year 4.3 percent from 18,415 sales in December 2013, according to CoreLogic DataQuick data.

Sales usually increase from November to December. On average, Southern California sales have risen 13.1 percent between those two months since 1988, when CoreLogic DataQuick data began. On a year-over-year basis, sales in 2014 fell each month except in September (+1.2 percent) and December.

The total number of homes sold in Southern California in all of 2014 fell 8.7 percent compared with 2013.

December home sales have ranged from a low of 13,240 in 2007 to a high of 36,865 in 2003. December 2014 sales were 20.2 percent below the December average of 24,067 sales since 1988.

"One month doesn’t make a trend, but December’s uptick in home sales might indicate renewed interest in housing thanks to lower mortgage rates and job growth in recent months,” said Andrew LePage, data analyst for CoreLogic DataQuick. “The gain came despite a continued decline in the share of homes sold to investors and cash buyers. If demand continues to build we'll need more supply to keep up with it. One of the big questions hanging over the housing market is whether higher demand and home values will lead to a lot more people listing their homes for sale, as well as more new-home construction, which remains well below average.”

The median price paid for all new and resale houses and condos sold in the six-county region in December 2014 was $415,000, up 0.7 percent month over month from $412,000 in November and up 5.1 percent year over year from $395,000 in December 2013. The median hasn't moved much since September 2014, when it was $413,000. The median's peak for 2014 was $420,000 in August.

The region's median sale price has increased on a year-over-year basis for the past 33 consecutive months, but the 5.1 percent annual gain in December 2014 was the smallest since April 2012, when the $290,000 median rose 3.6 percent from a year earlier.

Southern California's December median sale price was 17.8 percent below the peak median price of $505,000 reached in March, April, May and July of 2007. Among the region’s six counties, the December 2014 median in Orange County ($591,000) was the closest – within about 8 percent – to its peak of $645,000 in June 2007.

Home prices in Southern California have been rising at different rates depending on price segment. In December, the lowest-cost third of the region's housing stock experienced a 12.9 percent year-over-year increase in the median price paid per square foot for resale single-family detached houses. The annual gain was 6.3 percent for the middle third of the market and 2.3 percent for the top, most-expensive third.

The number of homes that sold for $500,000 or more in December 2014 rose 10.1 percent compared with December 2013. Sales below $500,000 rose 3.4 percent year over year, and sales below $200,000 dropped by 20.6 percent.


Among the other Southern California housing market highlights from December 2014:


•Foreclosure resales represented 5.0 percent of the resale market in December. That was down from a revised 5.5 percent in November 2014 and down from 5.8 percent in December 2013. In recent months the foreclosure resale rate has been the lowest since early 2007. In the current cycle, foreclosure resales hit a high of 56.7 percent in February 2009. Foreclosure resales are purchased homes that have been previously foreclosed upon in the prior 12 months.

•Short sales made up an estimated 6.2 percent of resales in December, down from a revised 6.4 in November 2014 and down from 10.2 percent in December 2013. Short sales are transactions in which the sale price fell short of what was owed on the property.

•Absentee buyers – mostly investors – bought 23.4 percent of the homes sold in December. That was down from a revised 23.8 percent in November 2014 and down from 26.9 percent in December 2013. The December 2014 absentee level ties the October 2014 level as the lowest for any month since October 2010, when 22.1 percent of homes were sold to absentee buyers. The peak absentee share was 32.4 percent in January 2013, and the monthly average since 2000, when CoreLogic DataQuick absentee data began, is about 19 percent. Absentee buyers include those who purchase vacation homes or other properties that public property records suggest are not used as primary residences.

•Cash buyers accounted for 23.8 percent of December home sales, down from a revised 24.3 percent in November 2014 and down from 28.8 percent in December 2013. The December 2014 cash level was the lowest for any month since January 2009, when 22.0 percent of homes were bought with cash. The peak was 36.9 percent in February 2013, and the monthly average since 1988 is 16.7 percent.

•Southern California home buyers committed a total of $4.43 billion of their own money in the form of down payments or all-cash purchases in December. That was up from a revised $3.47 billion in November 2014. The out-of-pocket total peaked in May 2013 at $5.41 billion.

•Jumbo loans, or mortgages above the old conforming limit of $417,000, accounted for 31.3 percent of purchase lending in December, up from a revised 30.5 percent in November 2014 and up from 28.5 percent in December 2013. The July/August 2014 level of 32.3 percent was the highest since the credit crunch struck in August 2007. Prior to August 2007, jumbo loans accounted for around 40 percent of the home-loan market. The jumbo level dropped to as low as 9.3 percent in January 2009.

•Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) represented 12.1 percent of home purchase loans in December, up from 12.0 percent in November 2014 and down from 13.0 percent in December 2013. The ARM share dropped to as low as 1.9 percent of home purchase loans in May 2009. Since 2000, a monthly average of about 30 percent of purchase loans have been ARMs.

•All lenders combined provided a total of $6.19 billion in mortgage money to Southern California home buyers in December, up from a revised $4.88 billion in November 2014 and up from $5.40 billion in December 2013.

•The typical monthly mortgage payment for Southern California home buyers in December was $1,558, down slightly from $1,560 in November 2014 and down from $1,594 in December 2013. Adjusted for inflation, the December 2014 typical payment was 35.6 percent below the typical payment in the spring of 1989, the peak of the prior real estate cycle. It was also 47.3 percent below the current cycle’s peak in July 2007.

To view the county-by-county home sale chart, please visit DQNews.com.

Source: CoreLogic DataQuick. Data available at DQNews.com
Media calls: Andrew LePage (916) 456-7157

Copyright 2015 CoreLogic. All rights reserved.

Tuesday, December 16, 2014

November Bay Area Home Sales Press Release

Bay Area Home Sales Slowest in Six Years; Single-Digit Price Increase


December 16, 2014

CoreLogic® (NYSE: CLGX), a leading global property information, analytics and data-enabled services provider, today released its November San Francisco Bay Area housing market report. Home sales dropped to the lowest level for the month of November since 2008, the result of a limited number of homes for sale, cautious buyers, a challenging mortgage market and a quirk of the calendar that resulted in a relatively low number days for recording deals. The single-digit, year-over-year rise in the median sale price was the lowest since May 2012.

A total of 6,003 new and resale houses and condos sold in the nine-county Bay Area in November 2014. That was down 22.0 percent from 7,693 in October of this year and down 9.9 percent from 6,659 in November 2013, according to CoreLogic DataQuick data.

A decline in sales from October to November is normal for the season. It’s likely that this November’s sales decline from October was especially sharp because of a calendar issue: There were only 17 days on which home sales could be recorded at county recorders’ offices this November, compared with 22 or 23 days in October, depending on the county. Over the last decade, there has been an average of about 19 days for such recordings in the month of November.

The November 2014 sales count was the lowest for any November since 5,756 homes sold in November 2008. Sales for the month of November have varied from 5,127 in 2007 to 11,906 in 2004. The average November sales since 1988, when CoreLogic DataQuick’s statistics begin, is 7,772.

The median price paid for a home in the nine-county Bay Area was $601,000 in November. That was the same as in October and up 9.3 percent from $550,000 in November 2013. The year-over-year increase was the lowest since May 2012, when it was 7.5 percent. The Bay Area’s median sale price peaked at $665,000 in June and July 2007 and dropped to a post-boom low of $290,000 in March 2009.

“Each calendar month has its own set of characteristics, its own personality. November is always kind of an interlude month, and the statistics aren’t really very good for predicting upcoming activity. That said, we did see a continuation of long-term trends: Low supply levels, a dysfunctional mortgage market and dormant market categories. This could change fast, and the big question then will be just how much pent-up demand is out there. No one knows,” said John Karevoll, CoreLogic DataQuick analyst.


Other Bay Area housing market highlights from November 2014:


• Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), an important indicator of mortgage availability, accounted for 23.4 percent of the Bay Area’s home purchase loans in November, up from a revised 23.1 percent in October, and up from 20.1 percent in November 2013. ARMs hit a low of 3.0 percent of purchase loans in January 2009 and reached a post-housing-bust peak of 27.8 percent in April 2014. Since 2000, ARMs have accounted for 46.5 percent of all Bay Area purchase loans.

•Jumbo loans, or mortgages above the old conforming limit of $417,000, accounted for 56.9 percent of purchase lending in November, up from a revised 55.6 percent in October, and up from 50.0 percent in November 2013. Jumbo usage dropped to as low as 17.1 percent in January 2009. It reached 56.4 percent in May of this year and has stayed close to that percentage since.

•Foreclosure resales accounted for 2.8 percent of all resales in November, unchanged from a revised 2.8 percent in October, and down from 3.7 percent in November 2013. Foreclosure resales in the Bay Area peaked at 52.0 percent in February 2009, while the monthly average over the past 17 years is 9.7 percent. Foreclosure resales are purchased homes that had been previously foreclosed upon in the prior 12 months.

•Short sales made up an estimated 4.3 percent of Bay Area resales in November, up from an estimated 3.4 percent in October and down from 7.2 percent in November 2013. Short sales are transactions in which the sale price fell short of what was owed on the property.

•Absentee buyers – mostly investors – purchased 18.6 percent of all Bay Area homes in November, which was the lowest absentee level for any month since September 2010, when it was 18.5 percent. This November's absentee level was down from a revised 19.2 percent in October, and down from 20.4 percent in November 2013.

•Cash buyers accounted for 18.9 percent of sales in November – the lowest level for any month since it was 18.5 percent in October 2008. This November's absentee level was down from a revised 20.9 percent in October and down from 22.4 percent in November 2013.

•Bay Area home buyers used $2.06 billion of their own money in the form of a down payment or as an outright cash purchase in November. They borrowed $3.05 billion in mortgage money from lenders.

•The typical monthly mortgage payment that Bay Area buyers committed to in November was $2,268. Adjusted for inflation, that payment was 21.8 percent below the typical payment in spring 1989, the peak of the prior real estate cycle. It was 42.2 percent below the current cycle's peak in July 2007 and 77.1 percent above the February 2012 bottom of the current cycle.

To view the county-by-county chart, please visit DQNews.com.

Source: CoreLogic DataQuick. Data available at DQNews.com
© 2014 CoreLogic, Inc. All rights reserved.

Monday, December 15, 2014

November Southland Home Sales Press Release

Southern California November Home Sales Fall Sharply; Median Sale Price Holds Steady Again


December 15, 2014

CoreLogic® (NYSE: CLGX), a leading global property information, analytics and data-enabled services provider, today released its November Southern California housing market report. Home sales dropped to the lowest level for the month of November in seven years, the result of a relatively low number of days for recording deals, as well as fewer investor purchases and other market factors. There were also more signs of home prices flattening out: The region's median sale price has changed little over the last three months and November marked the sixth consecutive month in which the median had a single-digit year-over-year gain, following 22 months of double-digit increases.

A total of 15,643 new and resale houses and condos sold in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties in November 2014. That was down 18.8 percent from 19,271 sales in October, and down 9.5 percent from 17,283 sales in November 2013, according to CoreLogic DataQuick data.

On average, Southern California sales have fallen 8.4 percent between October and November since 1988, when CoreLogic DataQuick data began. It’s likely that this November’s sales decline from October was especially sharp because of a calendar issue: There were only 17 days on which home sales could be recorded at county recorders' offices this November, compared with 22 or 23 days in October, depending on the county. Over the last decade, there has been an average of about 19 days for such recordings in the month of November.

November home sales have ranged from a low of 13,173 in 2007 to a high of 31,987 in 1988. November 2014 sales were 26.7 percent below the November average of 21,340 sales. Between January and November of this year, home sales were down 9.8 percent from the same 11-month period in 2013.

"Southern California home sales are closing on a low note in 2014,” said Andrew LePage, data analyst for CoreLogic DataQuick. “Inventory still lags demand in many markets and traditional buyers haven’t filled the void left by the investors who’ve pulled out. Among would-be buyers, affordability and mortgage availability remain as hurdles, as do concerns about job security and the direction of the housing market. But there are reasons to expect more housing demand ahead. According to recent data from the federal government, job and income growth has improved. Many people who became renters after a foreclosure or short sale over the past seven years will want to buy again. And potential home buyers sitting on the fence might be tempted to jump off if they see evidence that mortgage rates will spike from today’s exceptionally low levels.”

The median price paid for all new and resale houses and condos sold in the six-county region in November 2014 was $412,000, up 0.5 percent from $410,000 in October and up 7.0 percent from $385,000 in November 2013. The median hasn't moved much since September this year, when it was $413,000. The median's peak for 2014 was $420,000 in August.

Southern California's $412,000 November median sale price was 18.4 percent below the peak $505,000 median reached in March, April, May and July of 2007. Among the region’s six counties, the November 2014 median in Orange County ($585,000) was the closest – within about 9 percent – to its peak of $645,000 in June 2007.

Home prices in Southern California have been rising at different rates depending on price segment. In November, the lowest-cost third of the region's housing stock saw a 12.9 percent year-over-year increase in the median price paid per square foot for resale single-family detached houses. The annual gain was 6.3 percent for the middle third of the market and 2.3 percent for the top, most-expensive third.

The number of homes that sold for $500,000 or more this November fell 3.3 percent compared with November 2013. Sales below $500,000 fell 16.9 percent year-over-year, and sales below $200,000 dropped 35.4 percent.

Other Southern California housing market highlights from November 2014:

•Foreclosure resales represented 5.3 percent of the Southern California resale market in November. That was up from a revised 4.9 percent in October and down from 6.3 percent a year earlier. In recent months the foreclosure resale rate has been the lowest since early 2007. In the current cycle, foreclosure resales hit a high of 56.7 percent in February 2009. Foreclosure resales are purchased homes that had been previously foreclosed upon in the prior 12 months.

•Short sales made up an estimated 6.2 percent of resales in November, up from a revised 6.0 percent in October and down from 10.5 percent in November 2013. Short sales are transactions in which the sale price fell short of what was owed on the property.

•Absentee buyers – mostly investors – bought 23.5 percent of the homes sold in November. That was up slightly from a revised 23.2 percent in October and down from 26.8 percent in November 2013. The October 2014 level was the lowest for any month since October 2010, when 22.1 percent of homes were sold to absentee buyers. The peak absentee share was 32.4 percent in January 2013, while the monthly average since 2000, when the CoreLogic DataQuick absentee data begin, is about 19 percent. Absentee buyers include those who purchase vacation homes or other properties that public property records suggest are not used as primary residences.

•Cash buyers accounted for 23.9 percent of November home sales, up from 23.5 percent in October and down from 28.1 percent in November 2013. The October 2014 cash level was the lowest for any month since January 2009, when 22.0 percent of homes were bought with cash. The peak was 36.9 percent in February 2013, and since 1988 the monthly average is 16.7 percent.

•Southern California home buyers committed a total of $3.28 billion of their own money in the form of down payments or all-cash purchases in November. That was down from a revised $4.09 billion in October. The out-of-pocket total peaked in May 2013 at $5.41 billion.

•Jumbo loans, or mortgages above the old conforming limit of $417,000, accounted for 31.0 percent of purchase lending in November, down from a revised 31.7 percent in October and up from 27.9 percent in November 2013. The July/August 2014 level of 32.3 percent was the highest since the credit crunch struck in August 2007. Prior to August 2007 jumbo loans accounted for around 40 percent of the home-loan market. The jumbo level dropped to as low as 9.3 percent in January 2009.

•Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) represented 12.3 percent of home purchase loans in November, down slightly from 12.9 percent in October and up from 11.2 percent in November 2013. The ARM share dropped to as low as 1.9 percent of home purchase loans in May 2009. Since 2000, a monthly average of about 30 percent of purchase loans have been ARMs.

•All lenders combined provided a total of $4.78 billion in mortgage money to Southern California home buyers in November, down from a revised $6.1 billion in October and down from $4.93 billion in November 2013.

•The typical monthly mortgage payment Southern California home buyers committed to was $1,560 in November, down from $1,574 in October and up from $1,517 in November 2013. Adjusted for inflation, the November 2014 typical payment was 35.9 percent below the typical payment in the spring of 1989, the peak of the prior real estate cycle. It was also 47.5 percent below the current cycle’s peak in July 2007.

To view the county-by-county home sale chart, please visit DQNews.com.

Source: CoreLogic DataQuick. Data available at DQNews.com
Media calls: Andrew LePage (916) 456-7157

Copyright 2014 CoreLogic. All rights reserved.


Thursday, November 13, 2014

October California Home Sales Press Release

California October Home Sales


November 13, 2014

An estimated 36,830 new and resale houses and condos sold statewide in October 2014. That was up 1.4 percent from 36,316 in September, and up 1.0 percent from 36,468 sales in October 2013.

Statewide sales have increased slightly on a year-over-year basis for two consecutive months. The October sales tally was the highest for that month in two years. October sales have varied from a low of 25,832 in 2007 to a high of 70,152 in 2003. The October 2014 sales were 14.1 percent below the average of 42,860 sales for the month of October since 1988, when CoreLogic DataQuick data begin. California sales haven’t been above average for any particular month in more than eight years.

The median price paid for a home in California in October was $382,000, down 1.8 percent from $389,000 in September and up 7.0 percent from $357,000 in October 2013. The median sale price has declined slightly month-over-month over the past two months. However, October marked the 32nd consecutive month in which the state's median price has been higher than a year earlier. Those year-over-year price increases peaked at 29.2 percent in July last year and since then they have gradually ratcheted down, with single-digit annual gains since July this year.

The October 2014 median was 21.1 percent lower than California’s peak $484,000 median reached in March/April/May 2007, and it was nearly 73 percent higher than the post-peak trough of $221,000 in April 2009. (That trough was reached during a period when distressed property sales were at unusually high levels and sales of mid- to high-end homes were at relatively low levels.)

Of the existing homes sold statewide in October, 5.3 percent were properties that had been foreclosed on during the past year. That was down from a revised 5.4 percent in September and down from 6.7 percent in October 2013. Foreclosure resales peaked at 58.8 percent in February 2009.

Short sales - transactions where the sale price fell short of what was owed on the property - made up an estimated 6.1 percent of the homes that resold in October. That was up insignificantly from 6.0 percent in September and down from 10.3 percent in October 2013.

The typical California monthly mortgage payment in October was $1,466, down from a revised $1,515 in September and up from $1,395 in October 2013. Adjusted for inflation, the October 2014 payment was 37.7 percent below the typical payment in spring 1989, the peak of the prior real estate cycle. It was 49.5 percent below the current cycle's peak in June 2006. It was 55.9 percent above the January 2012 bottom of the current cycle.

Indicators of market distress continue to decline. Foreclosure activity remains well below year-ago and peak levels reached in the last five years. Financing with multiple mortgages is low, while down payment sizes are stable.

Source: CoreLogic DataQuick; DQNews.com

Copyright 2014 CoreLogic. All rights reserved.

October Bay Area Home Sales Press Release

San Francisco Bay Area Home Sales Edge Higher; Price Growth Ratchets Down Again


November 13, 2014

CoreLogic® (NYSE: CLGX), a leading global property information, analytics and data-enabled services provider, today released its October San Francisco Bay Area homes sales report. The Bay Area housing market posted another modest uptick in sales during October but activity remained below average as cash purchases continued to taper off and buyers faced a limited inventory as well as affordability and mortgage availability challenges. Home prices appear to have plateaued in recent months, although the October median sale price was still about 11 percent higher than a year earlier.

A total of 7,693 new and resale houses and condos sold in the nine-county San Francisco Bay Area in October 2014. That was up 3.4 percent from 7,443 in September and up 1.3 percent from 7,595 in October 2013, according to CoreLogic DataQuick data..

A small gain in sales from September to October is normal for the season. The October sales count was the highest for that month since 7,902 homes sold in October 2012. October sales have ranged from a low of 5,486 in 2007 to a high of 13,392 in 2003. October 2014 sales were 9.7 percent below the October average of 8,521 sales since 1988, when CoreLogic DataQuick’s data began.

The median price paid for a home in the nine-county Bay Area in October 2014 was $601,000. That was down 0.5 percent from $604,000 in September, and up 11.3 percent from $539,750 in October 2013.

The median sale price lurched above $600,000 in April this year, when it was $610,000, and then reached a 2014 high of $618,000 in June. Since June the median price has declined on a month-over-month basis and the October median was the lowest since March, when it was $579,000. The 11.3 percent year-over-year gain in the October median price was the second-lowest, behind this July's 9.8 percent increase, since June 2012, when the median rose 10.4 percent compared with June 2011.

The Bay Area median sale price peaked at $665,000 in June and July 2007, then dropped to a low of $290,000 in March 2009. The $601,000 October 2014 median price was 9.6 percent below the peak, which is the closest any major region of the state has come to its peak median sale price.

“After hitting what many view as a stratospheric level, Bay Area home prices have shown signs of leveling off,” said Andrew LePage, data analyst for CoreLogic DataQuick. “To some extent it’s the result of sticker shock and a modest pickup in inventory. A bigger jump in inventory would make price spikes less likely. Still, if we see more job and wage growth heading into 2015 it's easy to imagine demand and price pressures building again. People torn from homeownership by a foreclosure or short sale over the past seven years will be looking to buy again. And there’s pent-up demand from those who've delayed a purchase as they repaired their finances, struggled to qualify for a loan, or wrestled with doubts about job security or the direction of the housing market.”

A variety of market indicators continue to trend slowly, and sometimes inconsistently, toward long-term norms.

Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), an important indicator or mortgage availability, accounted for 24.0 percent of the region’s home purchase loans in October. That was down slightly from a revised 24.2 percent in September and up from 20.5 percent in October 2013. The ARM share hit a low of 3.0 percent of purchase loans in January 2009. Since 2000, ARMs have accounted for a monthly average of 39.4 percent of Bay Area purchase loans.

Jumbo loans, mortgages above the old conforming limit of $417,000, accounted for 55.3 percent of October purchase lending, up from a revised 54.7 percent in September and up from 47.8 percent in October 2013. In recent months the jumbo loan level has ranged from about 55 percent to 57 percent of purchase loans – the highest level since the credit crunch hit in August 2007. Prior to that crunch, Bay Area jumbo loans accounted for more than 60 percent of home purchase loans. The jumbo loan share dropped to as low as 17.1 percent in January 2009.

Foreclosure resales accounted for 2.7 percent of resales in October, down from a revised 2.8 percent the month before, and down from 3.7 percent a year ago. Foreclosure resales in the Bay Area peaked at 52.0 percent in February 2009, while the monthly average since 1995 is 9.7 percent. Foreclosure resales are homes that had been foreclosed on in the prior 12 months.

Short sales – transactions where the sale price fell short of what was owed on the property – made up an estimated 3.5 percent of Bay Area resales in October. That was down from an estimated 3.8 percent in September and down from 7.3 percent in October 2013.

Absentee buyers – mostly investors – purchased 19.4 percent of all Bay Area homes that sold in October. That was down from a revised 19.6 percent in September, and down from 20.3 percent in October 2013. In recent months the absentee buyer share has hovered near its lowest level since late 2010.

Buyers paying cash accounted for 20.5 percent of sales in October, down from a revised 20.7 percent in September and down from 24.2 percent in October 2013. The cash level in October was the second-lowest, behind 20.3 percent this July, since November 2008, when cash buyers purchased 20.2 percent of all homes sold.

The typical monthly mortgage payment in the Bay Area was $2,307 in October. Adjusted for inflation, the October payment was 20.4 percent below the typical payment in spring 1989, the peak of the prior real estate cycle. It was 41.2 percent below the current cycle's peak in July 2007. It was 78.8 percent above the February 2012 bottom of the current cycle.

Indicators of market distress continue to decline. Foreclosure activity remains well below year-ago and far below peak levels. Financing with multiple mortgages is very low, and down payment sizes are stable. Because of late data availability, sales were estimated in Alameda, San Francisco and San Mateo counties.

For view the county-by-county home sales chart, please visit DQNews.com.